Tag Archives: Estimation

Estimation, Part 4: Are We Nearly There Yet ?

We have now got past the first three stops on the Bus Journey of Estimation: First, we valiantly struggled to avoid making a forecast at all, and failed at that endeavour. But having carried out a lengthy, dogged rearguard action … Continue reading

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Estimation, Part 3: The Art and Science of Predicting The Future With 100% Accuracy Using Only Guesswork and Microsoft Excel.

So. After several pages of whinge and a few more pages of groan on the subject of Software Project Estimation, the case has been vehemently made for adopting the following basic axioms and rules of conduct: If nobody is forcing … Continue reading

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Estimation, Part 2: How Bloody Much, or If You Think It’s So Easy, Why Don’t You Have A Bash At Writing The Bleeding Code Yourself ?

The very worst technology cock-ups kill people. These dreadful mistakes are thankfully rare, but they do happen(*). Half a notch down, and a Premier League technology disaster can cause injury, large-scale physical damage (to objects rather than humans), or buggeration, … Continue reading

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Estimation, Part 1: I Have Seen The Future, But It Was All Wrong

As a young chap, I used to have Faith. In many different things, but specifically for my purposes here, Faith in the determinism and predictability of Software Development. So long as one was completely cognisant of the architectural paradigms, governance … Continue reading

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Software Specific Stupidity: The Short Course in Planning for Disaster, Lesson Three

We have grasped now the basics of shambolic software planning and adopted the behaviours necessary to succeed. That is, fail. But these are not, even in combination, always enough. You may by chance allow just long enough to do the … Continue reading

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Ignoring the Bleeding Obvious: The Short Course in Planning for Disaster, Lesson Two

In our introductory monograph we exhibited the two basic recipes in the shambolic software planning cookbook which are, in short: Pure guesswork. Just pick the end date out of thin air. As above, but with extra ego. Guess how long … Continue reading

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Gormless Ignorance: The Short Course in Planning for Disaster, Lesson One

Scheduling even the simplest activity is fraught with difficulty. “When are you going to clear all of your bloody crap out of the garage so I can park my car in it ?” asks your nearest and dearest, simmering nicely … Continue reading

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